Visit of
US Under-Secretary of State: Underlying messages
M. Serajul
Islam
The Holiday, April 13, 2012
At the US Department of State, the affairs of Bangladesh are
usually decided at the level of the Deputy Assistant Secretary of State. It was
so when I was posted there in the early 1990s. It was only once in a while that
the Ambassador used to call on the Assistant Secretary for South Asia and seldom
if ever on the Under Secretary of State. During my stint at the Washington
Embassy as a Political Counsellor, I used to accompany the Ambassador in his
meetings at the US State Department. It was Ambassador Tereshita Schaffer who
was the Deputy Assistant Secretary and she used to be enough to deal with whatever
issues we had with the US Government.
Things however changed once we decided to commit troops for the
first Gulf War. The US Government, desperate at that time to make the coalition
troops to deal with Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait as broad based as possible, was
particularly grateful to President Ershad for committing troops. The fact that
Bangladesh was the third largest Muslim country made our decision all the more
welcome to the United States. After that
decision of President Ershad, the Ambassador’s access was upgraded to the level
of the Assistant Secretary and the Under Secretary. However, as soon as the Gulf
War ended, the level of access of our Ambassador was again pushed down to the
level of the Deputy Assistant Secretary.
That was nothing unusual. In fact that is the way the US does its
diplomacy. When the US has an interest in any country, the level is raised at
their instance. A good example of this style of US diplomacy was the treatment
that was given to President Pervez Moshraff after Pakistan joined the war on
terror. Pakistan that was a pariah just before 9/11 for usurping the democratic
government of Nawaz Sheriff became US’s closest ally after joining the war on
terror. In fact, in those days, Present Pervez Moshraff could claim to be in
the US President’s closest list of buddies.
It was therefore a pleasant surprise that the third highest
ranking diplomat at the US Department of State paid a two day official visit to
Bangladesh. Under Secretary for Political and Military Affairs Wendy Sherman’s
visit was billed as a familiarization trip as she assumed the office only
recently, in September last year. It is a usual practice in the US system for
an officer to undertake a visit to the countries under his/her watch after
taking office. However for countries such as Bangladesh, such a practice is
restricted to the mid-level and junior level officers. The visit was therefore
more than an usual familiarization trip;
in fact it was undertaken because
the US had messages for the Bangladesh Government just as it had when it sent Assistant
Secretary Robert Blake to Bangladesh during the ousting Dr. Yunus from the
Grameen Bank.
On the surface, there is nothing unusually important in
Bangladesh-US affairs at present to warrant such a high ranking officer of the
US Department of State to undertake a visit to Bangladesh. In fact, in her
talks with the Foreign Minister, the issues that the two sides discussed were routine.
The issue of security figured prominently in the talks. The Under Secretary
informed journalists after the talks that the Assistant Secretary for Political
and Military Affairs would be visiting Bangladesh on April 19 for a security
dialogue. She noted with satisfaction about Bangladesh’s initiatives in
tackling terrorism after the Government of Sheikh Hasina assured office in
early 2009.
In her talks with the Prime Minister also the issue of security
figured prominently. Ms Sherman welcomed the various actions of the Bangladesh
Government in tackling terrorism, particularly its zero-tolerance to terrorism.
She nevertheless expressed the view that the task of battling terrorism is a
tough one and the Government would need to keep its focus against terrorism all
the time. The Prime Minister briefed the visitor about the 5000 plus elections
held by the EEC that has recently been strengthened. She assured the Under-Secretary
that the next general elections would be free and fair. She requested the US
for including Bangladesh in the Millennium Challenge Account to receive
assistance from the fund.
The Under Secretary also assured that Bangladesh would receive US
1 billion in assistance from the US in health, food security, and climate
change and disaster management. In her official talks with the Foreign Minister
and in her courtesy call on the Prime Minister, the US did not raise anything
related to the Grameen Bank nor with the current political stalemate in the country
over the system under which the next general elections in Bangladesh would be
held. On the latter issue, she just underscored US expectations that it would
be free and fair.
In fact, the importance of
this important visit was revealed not in her official meetings but in what the
Under-Secretary said outside these meetings, in her press conference and in the
TV interview that she gave to a local TV station for instance. It was also
revealed in her visit to the Grameen Bank. It was of course also revealed in
what the Government of Bangladesh failed or did not raise with her in the
official meeting with the FM and in the courtesy call on the Prime Minister. In
her press conference and the TV interview, the Under-Secretary underscored the
US view regarding the next elections. She said the US would like to see an
election that would be free and fair in which all the parties, big and small
would attend.
Quite clearly that was a hint that the US would be disappointed if
the next general elections are held with the BNP and its allies not
participating. The Prime Minister true to her form did not lose anytime and
responded immediately to such a desire of the US Government. She used the
Leader of the Opposition and her usual sarcasm to dismiss any possibility of
accepting the BNP’s demand for holding the next elections under the caretaker
government. The US would have to be dumb to miss the direction at which the
Prime Minister’s sarcastic dismissal of the CG was hurled.
The Under-Secretary’s visit to the Grameen Bank was also an
unmistakable pointer at what the US thinking is about Bangladesh. The Under-Secretary
took considerable time out of her short visit to Bangladesh to make a trip to a
GB location at Manikgang, not a particularly easy place to access. She made
strong points for the future of the GB and the commitment of the international
community to its future. Quite clearly, the audience for her strong words for
the GB was not the people of Bangladesh but the Prime Minister and her
associates who encouraged her to pursue the case against Dr. Yunus.
The Bangladesh Government is clearly stuck in diplomatic quicksand
as a consequence of the differences that have emerged between the two countries
over the Grameen Bank and the Dr. Muhammad Yunus episode. The Prime Minister
and her aides have publicly spoken in the media that Dr. Yunus has used his
influence with the US Secretary of State to stop the WB funding for the Padma
Bridge. The Under-Secretary’s visit was the right opportunity for Bangladesh to
discuss this perception and find out whether it is correct and to ask the US
Government to use its influence over the WB that is obviously has, to remove
misunderstanding, if any.
The Prime Minister did not although it is as its wits end over the
mess it has made in dealing with GB and Dr. Yunus. It has found no evidence
against Dr. Yunus to sustain its charges with which it had snubbed the US
Secretary of State and the US President who had both requested our Prime
Minister to deal with the Noble Laureate honoruably that she did not. The Prime
Minister then made a strange gesture when she asked the EU to nominate Dr.
Yunus for the post of President of the WB that was dismissed without even an
attention at the right quarters, although at least two of the Prime Minister’s
Advisers stated in the media that the Prime Minister was serious about her
request.
While the Communications Minister is in KL signing a MOU with the
Government of Malaysia on funding the Padma Bridge, the Finance Minister has
stated that the Government has not given up its hopes that the WB would in the
end fund the PB project. He is no doubt worried that it is not just the PB loan
that is stuck in the Prime Minister’s dislike for Dr. Yunus; funds from leading
financial institutions/donors crucial to Bangladesh’s development are also
stuck. His worries notwithstanding, his colleagues are projecting the Malaysian
option as a success of the Prime Minister’s leadership for bringing funding for
the PB over the WB/JICA/ADB denial and by inference, US objection. No one in Government seems
concerned that a MOU is not even a serious commitment and may never even see
the light of day as eventually happens to most MOUs.
In drumming up the Malaysian option as a success of the Prime
Minister’s leadership, the Government is not telling the people what would be
the Malaysian take on the funding. Surely, the Malaysian would not provide the funds
at the less than 1% interest rate and the generous repayment period of the WB.
Malaysia has no reason to do such a huge favour to Bangladesh. It is the same
country that is giving our expatriates such an unfair deal. The Malaysians, if
they go through the deal, would be eventually doing business with the PB and
not providing humanitarian assistance to Bangladesh where the costs could
double and the people tied for decades paying tolls for the bridge. In going
for the Malaysian offer, the Prime Minister has literally kicked a gift horse
in the mouth for pursuing a personal agenda.
The US Under-Secretary left clear suggestions where US-Bangladesh
relations stand at the moment. The US has not forgotten the affront of the
Prime Minister made to the US Secretary of State and the US President over the
GB issue that has now become almost an obsession for this US administration. She
has also left with the distinct hint that the US would use its power and influence to see that the
next general elections in Bangladesh are held in a manner that would be
participated not just by the ruling party but by the opposition BNP as well.
By irony, the AL today finds itself in the same predicament as the
BNP found itself before the last general elections. At that time, the BNP as
the ruling party had incurred the displeasure of the United States over the
issues of terrorism and corruption and paid the price. This time, over the
issue of the GB, Dr. Muhammad Yunus, corruption and refusal to make the playing
ground even for all parties to participate in the next general elections, the AL
as the ruling party is again facing the displeasure of the United States.
The BNP made the mistake in its last term by refusing to heed to
the US displeasures and paid the price. The AL led government should not take
the US displeasures too lightly as the Prime Minister seems to be doing and ending
up displeasing the US much more than the BNP. When the last Prime Minister did not
take US concerns seriously not only did she lose power; the people of Bangladesh also suffered badly with a military rule that set back
Bangladesh decades back in its development efforts. That is the message that
Ms. Wendy Sherman left to the Prime Minister and her team.
The writer
is a former Ambassador to Japan.
No comments:
Post a Comment